The impact of some economic variables on exchange rates traded in the forex markets / applied study

Abstract

The study sought to study the relationship between some of the economic variables such as: unemployment rate, inflation rate, crude oil inventories, and the exchange rates of some currencies traded in the forex markets i.e. the Canadian dollar, the sterling pound, the euro. To show the effect of these variables on exchange rates in order to provide Forex traders with information that enables them to know the mechanism, in which these markets operate, and to avoid the risks that lie on them. The problem of the research was based on the following question: What are the economic variables affecting the prices of currencies traded in the Forex markets, and how much impact and how can be diagnosed?

            The empirical testing directed to examine the relationship between the study variables by the correlation coefficient, and then the multiple regression was used to identify the effect of the selected economic variables on the exchange rates of the currencies examined.

            The research reached to some conclusions, the most important of which is that the economic variable, which has a negative effect on the base currency, will be positive at the same time on another currency in the pair and vice versa as well. The study also recommends the need to identify the economic variables that affect the course of Forex before the start of the trading process.